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College soccer Week 12 bowl projections: Rivalry video games loom massive for postseason hopefuls

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With three extra weekends left within the common season, 59 groups have change into bowl-eligible, and one other 19 can qualify with another victory. With 82 spots, it’s unlikely a group with a shedding file will slide into the postseason this 12 months. Of course, that might change.

There are just a few four- and even three-win squads that also have a path to a bowl based mostly on their upcoming schedules, whereas just a few five-win groups are removed from assured a postseason journey. Penn State (3-6) almost upset No. 2 Indiana on Saturday and now wants to brush its remaining video games — at Michigan State, dwelling in opposition to Nebraska, at Rutgers — to select up a postseason invitation, but it surely’s not far-fetched. Rutgers (5-5) closes out its season at No. 1 Ohio State earlier than internet hosting Penn State. It’s potential that the season finale may change into a winner-take-all matchup for a bowl bid.

For a number of groups, rivalry video games will decide whether or not they earn a postseason nod. Kentucky (4-5) faces Tennessee Tech this week earlier than touring to Vanderbilt and Louisville to shut out the season. Clemson (4-5) might want to beat both Louisville or South Carolina on the street, coupled with a house win in opposition to Furman, to land a bowl berth. Florida State (4-5) may must beat Florida within the season finale, whereas it’s potential that solely the winner between NC State (5-4) and North Carolina (4-5) goes bowling.

For groups already eligible, now it’s about shifting up of their conferences’ pecking order. For occasion, the Iowa-Nebraska sport on Black Friday may decide which group heads to Tampa or Las Vegas. The Miami-Pittsburgh sport on the ultimate weekend may decide which of the 2 groups heads to the ACC’s high bowl tier (Pop Tarts, Gator, Holiday) and second tier (Pinstripe, Sun, Duke’s Mayo). A Citrus Bowl spot might be at stake in Vanderbilt-Tennessee if neither qualifies for the College Football Playoff.

A couple of evergreen notes:

This is the second season of the 12-team College Football Playoff. The highest-ranked 5 convention champions plus the highest seven at-large groups qualify for the sector.

The 4 highest-ranked groups earn first-round byes. Those groups will play within the Cotton (Dec. 31), Orange (Jan. 1), Rose (Jan. 1) and Sugar (Dec. 31) bowls on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1. Teams seeded 5-8 will host seeds 9-12 in first-round video games on Dec. 19-20. Should the Big Ten and SEC champions earn byes, they’ll play within the Rose and Sugar bowls, respectively.

The former Pac-12 colleges nonetheless are underneath the convention’s outdated bowl agreements, that are set to run out after the season. Depending on CFP negotiations, these offers may prolong by one other 12 months. In the meantime, it is going to be potential to see in-conference matchups within the Alamo, Vegas, Holiday or Sun bowls.

ESPN Events owns the Bahamas Bowl, however the sport will transfer to an undetermined location subsequent month.

Missouri State (6-3) and Delaware (5-4) are within the first 12 months of their transition from the Football Championship Subdivision and are ineligible for a bowl sport until there aren’t sufficient bowl-eligible groups. Transitional groups obtain precedence forward of 5-7 squads with a excessive Academic Progress Rate (APR).

Bowl Matchup
Playoff
Dec. 19, 2025

7 Texas Tech

10 Texas

Playoff
Dec. 20, 2025

5 Georgia

12 South Florida

Playoff
Dec. 20, 2025

6 Ole Miss

11 Georgia Tech

Playoff
Dec. 20, 2025

8 Oregon

9 Notre Dame

Cotton
Dec. 31, 2025

3 Indiana

Ole Miss/GT winner

Orange
Jan. 1, 2026

4 Alabama

UGA/USF winner

Rose
Jan. 1, 2026

1 Ohio State

Oregon/ND winner

Sugar
Jan. 1, 2026

2 Texas A&M

TxTech/Texas winner

Fiesta
Jan. 8, 2026

QF winner

QF winner

Peach
Jan. 9, 2026

QF winner

QF winner

Championship
Jan. 19, 2026

SF winner

SF winner

Bowl Matchup
LA
Dec. 13, 2025

Pac-12 6 Arizona

MWC 1 San Diego State

Salute to Veterans
Dec. 16, 2025

Sun Belt Coastal Carolina

MAC Buffalo

Cure
Dec. 17, 2025

Sun Belt James Madison

G5/Open Miami (OH)

68 Ventures
Dec. 17, 2025

Sun Belt Troy

Open Kennesaw State

Myrtle Beach
Dec. 19, 2025

Sun Belt Old Dominion

Open UConn

Gasparilla
Dec. 19, 2025

SEC/ACC/AAC Florida State

Open Memphis

Famous Idaho Potato
Dec. 22, 2025

MWC Utah State

MAC Central Michigan

Boca Raton
Dec. 23, 2025

Open Duke

Open Kansas

New Orleans
Dec. 23, 2025

Sun Belt Southern Miss

CUSA Western Kentucky

Frisco
Dec. 23, 2025

G5 North Texas

G5/Open UNLV

Hawai’i
Dec. 24, 2025

MWC Hawaii

American East Carolina

GameAbove Sports
Dec. 26, 2025

Big Ten 8 Minnesota

MAC Western Michigan

Rate
Dec. 26, 2025

Big Ten 7 Northwestern

Big 12 6 TCU

First Responder
Dec. 26, 2025

Open California

Open Baylor

Military
Dec. 27, 2025

American Navy

ACC 8 Wake Forest

Pinstripe
Dec. 27, 2025

Big Ten 6 Penn State

ACC 5-7 Pittsburgh

Fenway
Dec. 27, 2025

ACC 9 NC State

American Temple

Arizona
Dec. 27, 2025

MWC Boise State

MAC 2 Ohio

Pop-Tarts
Dec. 27, 2025

Big 12 3 BYU

ACC 2-4 Virginia

New Mexico
Dec. 27, 2025

MWC New Mexico

Open Washington State

Gator
Dec. 27, 2025

ACC 2-4 Miami

SEC 3-8 LSU

Texas
Dec. 27, 2025

Big 12 4 Iowa State

SEC 3-8 Missouri

Birmingham
Dec. 29, 2025

ACC/SEC/Open North Carolina

SEC/ACC/Open Tulane

Independence
Dec. 30, 2025

Big 12 7 Kansas State

CUSA/Sun Belt Arkansas State

Music City
Dec. 30, 2025

Big Ten 5 Illinois

SEC 3-8 Vanderbilt

Alamo
Dec. 30, 2025

Big 12 2 Houston

Pac-12 2 USC

ReliaQuest
Dec. 31, 2025

Big Ten 3 Iowa

SEC 3-8 Oklahoma

Sun
Dec. 31, 2025

ACC 5-7 SMU

Pac-12 5 Arizona State

Citrus
Dec. 31, 2025

Big Ten 2 Michigan

SEC 2 Tennessee

Las Vegas
Dec. 31, 2025

Pac-12 3 Utah

Big Ten 4 Nebraska

Armed Forces
Jan. 2, 2026

Open Fresno State

American Army

Liberty
Jan. 2, 2026

Big 12 5 Cincinnati

SEC 3-8 Mississippi State

Duke’s Mayo
Jan. 2, 2026

SEC 3-8 Kentucky

ACC 5-7 Clemson

Holiday
Jan. 2, 2026

ACC 2-4 Louisville

Pac-12 4 Washington

Bahamas/TBD
undefined NaN, NaN

MAC Toledo

CUSA Jacksonville State


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https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6792543/2025/11/10/college-football-bowl-projections-week-12/
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