Dodgers information: PECOTA tasks LA to win 105 video games

Projection techniques by their nature are typically conservative, which is why it’s uncommon to see such a transparent outlier. When it involves predicting baseball data, the Dodgers are standing out.

Seeing a projection of 105 wins is eye-popping given all of the regression that goes into these techniques, and it’s not the primary time for this period of Dodgers baseball. Last yr they had been projected for 104 wins, the best PECOTA projected win whole since 2009.

“Baseball projections are supposed to end with most teams bunched up together because that’s just how baseball works: the small talent disparity between most squads and the sport’s inherently random nature come together to create tons of equality,” wrote Mario Delgado Genzor at Baseball Prospectus. “This is not supposed to be possible, for one team to be so clearly head and shoulders above the rest.”

The Dodgers now been projected by PECOTA for triple-digit wins in six of the final seven seasons, but it surely is sensible on condition that they’ve a .629 successful share courting again to 2017, a 102-win tempo over 162 video games, with seasons of 111, 106, 106, 104, and 100 wins throughout that point. They completed with the perfect report in MLB in 4 of these 9 years, and had been one win shy of the perfect report two different instances.

It’s a bit of bit humorous that the Dodgers received the World Series in every of the final two years with out successful 100 video games. Granted, their 98 wins had been essentially the most in MLB in 2024, however they had been downright slumming it to 93 wins final yr however had each key participant wholesome in October.

The Dodgers added premium free brokers Kyle Tucker and Edwin Díaz to shore up their largest weaknesses, and boast enviable pitching depth that may be their finest up to now. Their final objective clearly is to win one other World Series, however they’ll must win a whole lot of video games within the common season to get there.

Today’s query is what number of video games will the Dodgers win within the 2026 common season? Let us know within the feedback beneath.