NBA betting suggestions, DFS picks for Monday: Why to depend on Donovan Mitchell in Game 4

ESPN’s basketball day by day cheat sheet is your pregame vacation spot earlier than you lock in day by day fantasy and betting choices for that night time’s video games. Here you will discover our prime insights for the slate, together with gamers to focus on to your day by day fantasy rosters, together with game-by-game damage reviews.

What that you must know for Monday

The motion within the playoffs simply retains heating up, and Sunday was a chief instance. The New York Knicks accomplished their sweep of the Philadelphia 76ers with a 30-point shellacking, their seventh straight win and the second-straight sequence they’ve closed out with a monster blowout.

Meanwhile, out West, Victor Wembanyama caught his first profession ejection after elbowing Naz Reid above the neck and the Minnesota Timberwolves had been capable of make the most of his absence late to tie their sequence with the San Antonio Spurs. Big issues on each side.

There ought to be extra of that sort of motion tonight, however with the leagues reversed.

Out West, the Oklahoma City Thunder have an opportunity to finish a four-game sweep of the Los Angeles Lakers after having received the primary three video games by no less than 18 factors in every. The Lakers have managed to have intervals in every sport the place they have been extra aggressive earlier than finally being blown out down the stretch.

In the East, the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Detroit Pistons in a pivotal Game 4. The house group has received each sport this sequence, and the Cavs might want to proceed that pattern to provide themselves an inexpensive probability to advance. However, if the Pistons can steal the win tonight, it could give them a commanding 3-1 lead going again to Detroit for Game 5.

As at all times, we are going to dig into all the storylines to determine some betting angles of curiosity and potential DFS worth performs. Let’s get into it.

Dré’s Bets for Monday

Donovan Mitchell over 26.5 factors (-123): Mitchell appears to have rediscovered his playoffs type. Typically, Mitchell has been a greater scorer within the playoffs (30.0 PPG in 47 playoff video games from 2020 by 2025) than within the common season (25.8 PPG throughout that very same span). In this 12 months’s playoffs, Mitchell averaged 31.0 PPG by the primary two video games, solely to hunch to twenty.5 PPG on 40.2 FG% and a paltry 1.7 FTA over the following six video games.

He has bounced again of late, although, notably after having a press convention the place he referred to his lack of free throw alternatives and questioning if he ought to begin flopping to get calls. In the final two video games, Mitchell has averaged 33.0 PPG on 50.0 FG% with 8.5 FTA. In a monster Game 4 at house, I anticipate Mitchell to remain aggressive and put extra factors on the board.

Tobias Harris over 18.5 factors (-114): Harris has been metronome constant as a scorer in these playoffs. He has scored no less than 20 factors in eight straight playoff video games, averaging 22.5 PPG on 48.9 FG% over that span. It’s the identical, win or lose. I see no purpose for that to alter in tonight’s Game 4, and I’m really fairly shocked that his line continues to be set under 20 factors given his consistency eclipsing that mark.

Thunder -11.5 vs. Lakers (-105): These two groups have now performed seven occasions this season, together with each the common season and the playoffs. The Thunder have received all seven video games by a mean margin of 23.7 PPG. Only a kind of wins was by single digits — a nine-point win in February. All six others have been by no less than 18 factors. LeBron James has had a valiant run this playoffs, however Luka Doncic is not strolling by that door and the Thunder have simply persistently been method an excessive amount of for the Lakers to deal with.

Top Daily Fantasy Values of the Day

$8,100+ Salaries

Cade Cunningham, PG, Pistons ($10,900): Cunningham has dropped greater than 50 fantasy factors within the final two video games of the sequence, and in 5 of his final six video games total to assist his excessive value level.

Donovan Mitchell, SG, Cavaliers (8,700): Mitchell is the one different high-priced participant tonight producing close to that degree. In his two-game re-awakening, he has totaled greater than 100 fantasy factors.

$6,100-$8,000 Salaries

Chet Holmgren, C, Thunder ($7,700): Holmgren’s current run of nightly 20-10 manufacturing, together with sturdy defensive numbers, has made him an elite fantasy producer. He has notched 49 or extra fantasy factors in three of his final 4 video games, together with two of three video games on this sequence.

Tobias Harris, SF, Pistons ($7,100): Harris has been a close to 40 FP/G scorer in these playoffs, with a low of 27.8 FP and a excessive of 54.2 so far.

Ajay Mitchell, PG, Thunder ($6,700): Mitchell has produced effectively within the playoffs as a complete, commonly dropping greater than 30 FP per night time, however stepped it up with a 52.5 FP explosion in Game 3. His confidence has grown because the sequence has progressed and, if the Thunder proceed to deal with the Lakers with ease, I’d anticipate one other good sport from Mitchell.

$3,500-$6,000 Salaries

Jarrett Allen, C, Cavaliers ($5,600): Allen has averaged effectively over 30 FP/G over his final 5 outings. He had one monster sport of 58.8 FP and one low of 8.8 FP in 18 minutes however, aside from that, has scored no less than 30 FP in every of his different three video games.

Projections and Injury Reports

Basketball Power Index by ESPN Analytics. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Odds supplied by DraftKings Sportsbook

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Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers
8 p.m. ET

Line: Pistons +3.5 (-105) | Cavaliers -3.5 (-115)
Money line: Pistons +140 | Cavaliers -166
Total: 213.5 (-105 O, -115 U)
BPI Projection: Pistons by 1.9, straight up 56%, 219.6 whole factors.

Injury Report:

Pistons: Caris LeVert, (GTD – Heel)

Cavaliers: None reported

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers
10:30 p.m. ET

Line: Thunder -11.5 (-105) | Lakers +11.5 (-115)
Money line: Thunder -520 | Lakers +390
Total: 214.5 (-112 O, -108 U)
BPI Projection: Thunder by 6.2, straight up 69%, 216.0 whole factors.

Injury Report:

Thunder: Jalen Williams, (OUT – Hamstring); Thomas Sorber, (OFS – Knee)

Lakers: Luka Doncic, (OUT – Hamstring)