KFF Well being Monitoring Ballot: Public Views on Latest Tax and Budget Legislation

Read the information launch about these ballot findings.

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Key Takeaways

• Following passage of the tax and finances reconciliation invoice, dubbed the “big beautiful bill” by President Trump and Republicans, public consideration to the invoice has elevated. Two-thirds now say they’ve heard “a lot” or “some” concerning the laws, up from half who stated so in June. Overall views stay largely unfavourable, with about two-thirds (63%) persevering with to carry unfavorable views of the laws – which is analogous to the share who stated the identical final month earlier than the laws handed. Despite this stability in general views, partisan divides have widened, with the share of Republicans expressing favorable views rising from 61% to 78% and the share of Democrats expressing unfavorable views rising from 85% to 94%.
• Almost half (46%) of adults assume the laws will damage them and their household, whereas 1 / 4 (28%) don’t anticipate to be affected and one other quarter (26%) assume it’ll assist them, up from 17% in June. The shift in perceptions of how the legislation will impression households is basically pushed by Republicans and particularly those that establish with the MAGA motion. Over half (54%) of Republicans now assume the laws will assist them and their household, up from a 3rd (32%) who stated so in June. Among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who establish with the MAGA motion, six in ten (61%) now anticipate the legislation to assist their households, up from 4 in ten (38%). A majority of Democrats (72%) and about half of independents (53%) proceed to say the legislation will damage them and their household.
• Reflecting the place most individuals get their information, a majority of adults, and comparable shares throughout partisans, say they noticed details about the tax and finances invoice on social media prior to now month (78% of those that use social media, and 73% of all adults). About half of those that noticed content material concerning the tax and finances invoice on social media say the content material was largely in opposition to the invoice, whereas fewer (11%) say the content material they noticed was largely in help of it, and about 4 in ten (41%) noticed a mixture of each constructive and unfavourable content material. Reflecting the partisan bent of most social media feeds, Democrats are more likely to say they noticed content material in opposition to the laws, whereas Republicans are more likely to say they noticed content material in favor of the laws or a mixture of each constructive and unfavourable. Regardless of the tone of the social media content material, most of those that noticed content material concerning the tax and finances invoice on social media say it was a least “somewhat helpful” in serving to them perceive what the invoice does.

Awareness and Impact of the Reconciliation Legislation

Earlier in July, the tax and finances invoice, additionally recognized by Republicans because the “big beautiful bill,” was handed in Congress and signed by President Trump. The laws has been lauded by Republicans as the biggest tax minimize in historical past for middle- and working-class Americans, however others describe it as the biggest rollback in well being applications, containing provisions that may considerably minimize and drastically change Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act (ACA). The newest KFF monitoring ballot exhibits that as public consciousness of the laws has elevated, partisan divides in opinion of the legislation have widened.

Two-thirds (68%) of the general public now say they’ve heard “a lot” or “some” concerning the tax and finances invoice, up from half who stated the identical in June. Another quarter say they’ve heard “a little” (23%), whereas few (9%) say they’ve heard “nothing at all.” Democrats stay considerably extra possible than Republicans and independents to say they’ve heard not less than “some” concerning the laws. Among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, those that take into account themselves a part of the MAGA motion usually tend to have heard “a lot” or “some” concerning the legislation in comparison with non-MAGA Republicans (71% vs. 57%).

Two-thirds (66%) of those that self-purchased their insurance coverage and 6 in ten adults underneath age 65 with Medicaid protection, two of the teams that will probably be most instantly impacted by the legislation, say they’ve heard “a lot” or “some” concerning the laws.

Overall favorability for the “big beautiful bill” stays comparatively low, with about one-third (36%) of adults holding a positive opinion and 6 in ten (63%) having an unfavorable view.  Overall views of the reconciliation invoice stay unchanged from KFF’s June monitoring ballot, which was carried out previous to the Senate passing the laws. This general stability masks a widening partisan divide in views. Favorability amongst Republicans has elevated 17 proportion factors since June, from 61% to 78%. At the identical time, Democrats have turn out to be much more unfavourable of their views, with 94% expressing an unfavorable opinion, up from 85% in June. Favorability amongst independents has remained regular however nonetheless low, with round one-quarter (26%) expressing a positive view of the laws, much like the share in June (27%).

Among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, those that establish with the MAGA motion specific extra favorable opinions of the legislation than those that don’t establish as MAGA (85% vs. 54%). Notably, nevertheless, the share of non-MAGA Republicans viewing the invoice favorably elevated from one-third (33%) in June to a slight majority (54%) after it was handed and signed into legislation.

Among Medicaid enrollees underneath age 65 – a gaggle that’s almost certainly to be impacted by the well being provisions of the reconciliation legislation, three in ten (29%) have a positive opinion, whereas seven in ten (69%) view the invoice unfavorably. Additionally, nearly half (46%) of those that bought their very own insurance coverage (46%) have a positive opinion, whereas 53% are unfavorable.

Among adults with family incomes of lower than $40,000 yearly, few (30%) maintain favorable views of the legislation.

Almost half (46%) of adults say they assume the tax and finances laws will usually damage them and their household, much like the share who stated so in June (44%). About 1 / 4 (26%) of adults assume the legislation will “help,” up from 17% in June. Another quarter (28%) assume it gained’t make a distinction for them and their households.

The uptick within the share who consider the invoice will assist them and their households is basically pushed by Republicans. After passage, simply over half (54%) of Republicans assume the reconciliation invoice will assist them and their household, up from a 3rd (32%) who stated so in June. At the identical time, the share of Republicans who say the invoice gained’t impression their households decreased from 47% to 33%. Among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who establish with the MAGA motion, six in ten (61%) now say the invoice will assist them, up from 38% in June. Non-MAGA Republicans are extra divided, with 38% anticipating the invoice to assist their households, with three in ten respectively anticipating it to harm (30%) or saying it gained’t make a lot distinction (32%). Seven in ten Democrats (72%) and about half of independents (53%) proceed to say the invoice will damage them and their household.

Those with decrease incomes are more likely to say that the tax and finances invoice will damage them and their households, with over half (56%) of these with a family revenue of lower than $40,000 a 12 months who say so.

Two-thirds (65%) of Medicaid enrollees say the tax and finances invoice will damage them and their households, whereas just below one in ten (18%) consider it’ll assist. Four in ten (38%) of those that have insurance coverage that they bought themselves anticipate that the laws will usually damage them and their household, whereas the same share (35%) say it gained’t make a lot of a distinction. Fewer (26%) say it’ll assist them and their household.

The Reconciliation Legislation on Social Media

A majority of adults (78% of those that use social media, and 73% of all adults) and comparable shares throughout partisans say they noticed details about the tax and finances invoice on social media prior to now month – reflecting the kind of info the general public is getting from their social media feeds. Among those that use social media, the share who say they noticed details about the tax and finances invoice on social media is much like the share who say they noticed details about different outstanding matters on social media, together with immigration (85%) and the U.S. economic system (83%). Smaller shares of those that use social media report seeing details about Medicaid (58%) or the Affordable Care Act (34%) on social media prior to now month.

The share of adults who report seeing details about every matter is analogous throughout age teams however barely differs throughout partisanship – maybe reflecting the partisan bent of social media feeds. While comparable shares of partisans say they noticed details about the tax and finances invoice, immigration, and the U.S. economic system, Democrats who use social media had been extra possible than Republicans to say they noticed details about Medicaid (67% vs. 48%) and the Affordable Care Act (39% vs. 24%) on social media prior to now month.

Reflecting partially the websites’ widespread adoption among the many public, Facebook is the most typical reported supply of knowledge seen concerning the tax and finances invoice, adopted by YouTube. About six in ten (62%) adults who say they noticed details about the tax and finances invoice on social media say they noticed it on Facebook (49% of all social media customers), together with majorities of Democrats, independents, and Republicans. About 4 in ten (42%) of those that noticed info say it was on YouTube (33% of all social media customers), adopted by about least one in 5 adults who use social media saying they noticed it on Instagram (24%), TikTok (23%), or on X, previously generally known as Twitter (19%). Fewer adults who use social media report seeing details about the tax and finances invoice on different social media apps or websites, together with Reddit (11%), Truth Social (4%), Bluesky (2%), or Snapchat (2%).

Among those that noticed details about the tax and finances invoice on social media, about half (47%) say a lot of the content material they noticed was in opposition to the tax and finances laws, whereas about one in ten (11%) say the content material was largely in help of the laws, and an extra 4 in ten (41%) say they noticed a mixture of each. Reflecting the partisan bent of most social media feeds, about three in 4 (76%) Democrats who say they noticed content material say that was in opposition to the invoice, whereas Republicans are extra possible (26%) to say the content material was in help of the laws. Notably, about half of Republicans who noticed details about the laws on social media say the content material they noticed was a combination – maybe reflecting the controversy amongst Republican lawmakers main as much as the invoice’s passing.

Most (62%) individuals who say they noticed content material concerning the tax and finances invoice on social media say it was not less than “somewhat helpful” in understanding what the invoice does, together with about one in six (16%) who discovered it “very helpful.” An further one in 4 (27%) say it was “not too helpful,” whereas an extra one in ten (11%) say it was “not at all helpful.” Democrats (72%) and independents (66%) usually tend to say that they discovered the content material useful in explaining what the invoice does in contrast with Republicans (51%). One in 4 (25%) younger adults underneath age 30 say the content material they noticed on social media concerning the invoice was “very helpful” in serving to them perceive what it does, bigger than the shares of older adults who say the identical.