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[ad_1] Media playback is unsupported in your system Media captionHuw Edwards publicizes the outcomes of an exit ballot for the BBC, ITV and Sky The Conservatives are set to win an general majority of 86 within the basic election, in response to an exit ballot for the BBC, ITV and Sky Information.The survey taken at UK polling stations suggests the Tories will get 368 MPs - 50 greater than on the 2017 election - when all the outcomes have been counted.Labour would get 191, the Lib Dems 13, the Brexit Celebration none and the SNP 55.The Inexperienced Celebration will nonetheless have one MP and Plaid Cymru will lose one seat for a complete of three, the survey suggests.Counting is below approach within the UK's 650 constituencies, with a number of early outcomes due earlier than midnight, and the remaining to come back within the early hours, though the ultimate whole won't be identified till Friday lunchtime.Within the exit ballot, voters are requested to fill in a mock poll paper as they depart the polling station indicating how they've simply voted.The exit ballot was carried out by Ipsos Mori at 144 polling stations, with 22,790 interviews.Exit polls have proved to be very correct lately. In 2017 it appropriately predicted a hung Parliament, with no general winner, and in 2015 it predicted the Conservatives can be the most important get together.The pound surged against the dollar after the exit ballot figures had been introduced, with sterling gaining 3% to $1.35 - its highest stage since Might final 12 months. The pound additionally jumped to a three-and-a-half-year excessive in opposition to the euro. If the exit ballot is appropriate, and Boris Johnson has secured a majority, then he could have the backing of MPs on the inexperienced benches behind him to take us out of the European Union subsequent month.An enormous junction in our historical past - a second that may redraw our place on this planet.However not simply that - if appropriate, these numbers may imply 5 extra years of a Conservative authorities - tipping throughout a decade.After the fourth defeat for Labour in a row - after a number of years once they have moved additional to the left - it is a severe and historic loss.The SNP have elevated their dominance in Scotland, clearing out Conservatives there in a approach that leaves a lot of the nation yellow, reasonably than blue.And it's a failure for the Lib Dems to interrupt by way of after a marketing campaign that began with excessive hopes.Read Laura's blog It will be the most important Conservative victory since 1987 and Labour's worst consequence since 1935, the ballot suggests, with the get together forecast to lose 71 seats.The exit ballot suggests the events' shares of the vote mirrored variations in how constituencies voted within the 2016 EU referendum.It suggests the Tory technique of concentrating on Depart-voting Labour seats within the Midlands and North of England may need paid off, with Boris Johnson's get together anticipated to have made positive aspects on the expense of Labour.In distinction, the Conservative share of the vote is anticipated to fall again on the 2017 basic election in these areas that voted most strongly for Stay within the 2016 EU referendum, whereas Labour's vote is anticipated to fall again reasonably much less, in response to polling skilled Sir John Curtice. Picture copyright AFP Consequently, the Conservative share of the vote is anticipated to be barely decrease in London and Scotland and do little greater than replicate the 2017 consequence within the South East exterior of London. But it surely won't turn out to be clear whether or not the exit ballot is correct till the outcomes begin rolling in through the early hours of Friday.Residence Secretary Priti Patel mentioned the federal government will transfer rapidly to "get Brexit done" earlier than Christmas by introducing laws in Parliament, whether it is returned to energy.Shadow chancellor John McDonnell instructed the BBC the exit ballot was "extremely disappointing" for Labour if it was appropriate. Discover a constituency Enter a UK postcode or constituency "I thought it would be closer. I think most people thought the polls were narrowing," he added. Mr McDonnell mentioned the election had been dominated by Brexit and Labour had been hoping "other issues could cut through".He instructed the BBC's Andrew Neil choices can be made about get together chief Jeremy Corbyn's future when the precise outcomes had been in.'Get Brexit carried out'That is the UK's third basic election in lower than 5 years - and the primary one to happen in December in practically 100 years - and has been dominated by Britain's 2016 vote to go away the European Union.Mr Johnson targeted relentlessly on a single message - "get Brexit done" - promising to take the UK out of the EU by 31 January 2020 if he acquired a majority.His fundamental rival for No 10, Labour chief Jeremy Corbyn, promised voters one other referendum with a selection between a renegotiated Depart deal and remaining within the bloc.However Labour primarily campaigned on a promise to finish austerity by growing spending on public providers and the Nationwide Well being Service.The Liberal Democrats promised to cancel Brexit if chief Jo Swinson grew to become prime minister, however opinion polls recommended their vote was squeezed through the course of the marketing campaign.The Lib Dems did a cope with the Inexperienced Celebration and Plaid Cymru to face apart in sure seats to maximise the pro-EU Stay vote. The Scottish Nationwide Celebration mentioned a powerful vote for them would successfully be a mandate for a second independence referendum. SNP chief Nicola Sturgeon tweeted that whereas the exit ballot "suggests a good night" for the SNP, she added that "what it indicates UK-wide though is grim".The Inexperienced Celebration's Caroline Lucas tweeted: "If this exit ballot is correct, it is a devastating blow for our local weather, for future generations and for our democracy. "It is not simply our relationship with the EU that may dominate the following few months, will probably be our relationship with Scotland too." A decisive second got here early on within the marketing campaign when Nigel Farage introduced his Brexit Celebration wouldn't be standing in seats received by a Conservative on the 2017 basic election to keep away from splitting the Depart vote. Mr Farage mentioned his get together had taken votes from Labour in Tory goal seats, though he himself had spoiled his poll paper "as I couldn't carry myself to vote Conservative".The Conservatives started the marketing campaign with a double-digit lead over Labour within the opinion polls, though this narrowed as polling day approached.Comply with election night time on the BBC Watch the election night time particular with Huw Edwards from 21:55 GMT on BBC One, the BBC Information Channel, and BBC iPlayer It can even be proven on BBC World Information and streamed stay on the BBC Information web site internationally As polls shut at 22:00, the BBC will publish an exit ballot throughout all its platforms, together with @bbcbreaking and @bbcpolitics The BBC Information web site and app will carry you stay protection and the most recent evaluation all through the night time We'll function outcomes for each constituency as they arrive in with a postcode search, map and scoreboards Comply with @bbcelection for each constituency consequence From 21:45 GMT, Jim Naughtie and Emma Barnett will host stay election night time protection on BBC Radio 4, with BBC Radio 5 Reside becoming a member of for a simulcast from midnight [ad_2] Source link