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A beneficial aurora borealis forecast from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration indicates that some of the northernmost states in the U.S. will have the opportunity to see the northern lights this Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.
NOAA projects a Kp index of four on Tuesday, indicating that the northern lights will drift further away from the poles on Christmas Eve, resulting in increased movements and formations.
The northern lights viewing line on Tuesday stretches as far south as central South Dakota, with the likelihood of witnessing the lights increasing the further north individuals are from the line.
Auroral activity is expected to rise on Christmas Day, with NOAA predicting a Kp index of five and a viewing line that covers a few more areas than Christmas Eve’s forecast, including northern New England, northern New York, and northern Iowa.
NOAA has issued no advisories or warnings for geomagnetic storms, which typically enhance the visibility of aurora borealis at higher latitudes.
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Areas within the viewing line include northern Washington, northern Idaho, most of Montana, North Dakota, northern South Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, northern Michigan, and northern Maine, as well as the majority of Canada and Alaska.
NOAA suggests that sky watchers observe the aurora borealis during the peak hours of 10 p.m. to 2 a.m. It also recommends that viewers attempt to watch the lights from locations with minimal light pollution and clear skies.
Individuals using smartphones should activate night mode when capturing photographs of the northern lights. If feasible, employing low shutter speeds and wide apertures can enhance the chances of taking a better picture.
2024 has been marked as a remarkable year for auroral activity, featuring a notably strong display in May that resulted in the most powerful geomagnetic storm for Earth in two decades, according to NASA, which noted that this display also potentially generated one of the strongest aurora displays in the last 500 years. Forecasters anticipate a continuation of unusually lively northern lights activity in 2025 due to a “solar maximum” reached on the solar surface. A “solar maximum” represents the most active cycle of the sun’s 11-year solar cycle, leading to an increase in sunspots that are the source of solar eruptions, which can result in geomagnetic storms on Earth. This period of increased solar activity is expected to persist into the coming year, according to NASA, resulting in stronger and more frequent displays of aurora borealis.
NASA, NOAA: Sun Reaches Maximum Phase in 11-Year Solar Cycle (NASA)
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