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As the tally of satellites orbiting Earth escalates, the peril from space debris increases — and some specialists caution that certain orbits might already be alarmingly congested.
The total mass of debris in Earth’s orbit is nearly 7 million kilograms, including everything from defunct satellites to minute particles of paint.
Currently, the U.S. Department of Defense’s global Space Surveillance Network is monitoring over 27,000 fragments of space debris. While other pieces are too minuscule to be tracked, they still pose threats to spacecraft because of their extreme speeds.
A significant portion of this debris will ultimately come back through Earth’s atmosphere and incinerate, but this process can take several years. As long as it remains in space, it generates new challenges and threatens space missions and astronauts.
The greater the number of collisions, the more debris is produced, which in turn can lead to additional crashes. This issue can intensify in a downward spiral. This situation is termed Kessler syndrome, named after former NASA engineer Don Kessler, who first outlined these mechanisms in 1978.
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In its most severe form, Kessler syndrome could reach a self-sustaining threshold that might render whole orbits unusable due to debris. According to NASA, some authorities suggest that low Earth orbit is already nearing a point that could trigger this uncontrollable reaction.
The hazards posed by debris and cascading collisions may keep rising as firms like SpaceX and Amazon advance their orbital initiatives, which require a significant number of satellites.
For instance, Amazon’s Kuiper internet project could eventually encompass over 3,000 satellites, while SpaceX’s Starlink network already has more than 7,000 satellites in orbit and might ultimately deploy over 30,000.
However, in some instances, newer satellites such as those employed by Starlink are engineered to descend swiftly into the atmosphere at the conclusion of their operational lifespan, instead of remaining in orbits where they might contribute to the debris problem.
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