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Even although it’s solely Week 2, Florida State’s (1-1, 0-1) bye week couldn’t have come at a greater time.
The Seminoles seemed torpid in opposition to New Mexico State in Week 0 earlier than being clearly the worst group in opposition to SMU on Labor Day, with the Seminoles unable to capitalize on successful the turnover margin, primarily by a 4-0 margin.
“Just another close game,” head coach Mike Norvell instructed the native Tallahassee media after the Noles’ first defeat on Monday. “A lot of one plays, and you think back through it, some of the explosive plays that we had, that we gave up defensively, some missed opportunities there offensively.”
Norvell’s job standing looms over this system, however the Seminoles have pink flags all around the roster proper now. Unfortunately for them, there will probably be no relaxation for the weary. After the bye week, FSU travels to Tuscaloosa to tackle a Twelfth-ranked Alabama group in search of revenge after the Seminoles’ beautiful Week 1 upset final 12 months in Tallahassee.
It would possibly worsen earlier than it will get higher, as evidenced by these three regarding stats from the opening two weeks of Florida State’s season.
5 — That is the variety of receptions Duce Robinson has had by means of the primary two video games of the season. Sam Singleton Jr. (six catches) has extra out of the backfield.
The Seminoles have been unable to get their finest offensive weapon going, and in one of many largest moments of the sport in opposition to SMU, Robinson dropped a contested catch in the long run zone. Of course, Robinson’s small stat sheet is only one microcosm of a passing offense that’s nearly non-existent.
Against the Mustangs, FSU’s passing offense might barely transfer the ball. According to gameonpaper.com, Florida State had a 0.14 EPA/dropback in comparison with 0.65 from SMU and averaged 4.73 yards per dropback, touchdown within the twenty third percentile.
The poor passing stats are a mirrored image of all components of the offense, from a training workers that doesn’t put its gamers into place for them to achieve success, a below-average offensive line and, in the end, disappointing quarterback play.
All offseason, coaches and gamers alike lauded Ashton Daniels for his maturity and command of the offense, however in two video games, he hasn’t proven up. Daniels’ completion share sits at an unimpressive 58% whereas averaging solely 6.5 yards per try. He misplaced the belief of his teaching workers through the SMU sport, evidenced by solely 23 passing makes an attempt on 67 complete offensive snaps. Without a quarterback who can push the ball downfield and create simple completions, feeding Robinson is sort of unattainable.
“We have very good players on the wings, and we have to do a good job of moving them and putting them in positions,” offensive coordinator Tim Harris Jr. mentioned throughout his post-SMU availability. “We had an opportunity … that we couldn’t seize, but these are the balls that need to be won.”
The primary precedence for FSU’s offensive teaching workers through the bye week must be discovering a solution to get Robinson concerned and utilizing that as a catalyst to repair the remainder of the passing sport.
2 — That is the variety of sacks from Florida State’s line of defense by means of two video games this season. Maybe a greater quantity might have been zero: the variety of sacks your complete FSU protection had in opposition to SMU on Monday.
No matter what quantity is chosen, FSU’s line of defense has been probably the most disappointing models on the group, which is saying quite a bit as a result of virtually the entire place teams have been underwhelming.
Starting with the celebrities of the protection, neither Mandrell Desir nor Daniel Lyons has made an affect within the early a part of the season. Lyons started the 12 months with out recording a stat in opposition to New Mexico State, just for Desir to not find yourself on the stat sheet versus SMU, as he didn’t make a deal with. The second 12 months in Tony White’s system was supposed to assist each gamers take one other step by transferring all throughout the defensive entrance, however that hasn’t come to fruition at the beginning of the 12 months.
As far because the depth behind these two, nobody’s sport seems to be something above common. Deante McCray has just one deal with for loss and three complete tackles by means of two video games this 12 months. The two defensive tackles behind McCray and Lyons, Kevin Wynn and Jordan Sanders, mixed to play 32 of 67 snaps in opposition to SMU, whereas every incomes PFF grades below 60. At least Rylan Kennedy and Jalen Anderson have one sack apiece this 12 months (therefore the stat), however neither is an elite go rusher.
Even although Tony White believed his protection “balled out” for 60 snaps in opposition to SMU, his defensive entrance has finished nothing of the kind to start the 12 months.
25,000 — At of Saturday afternoon, Florida State has +25000 odds to win the ACC, based on FanDuel. That means you’ll win $25,000 if you happen to wager $100 on that occuring and it does. To put these odds into perspective, these are the identical odds that the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets need to win the Super Bowl earlier than the beginning of the season, per FanDuel.
It is unthinkable that two video games into the season, with just one convention sport performed, solely two groups have worse odds to win the convention, Boston College and Stanford. And but, that shows the autumn from grace from Florida State after successful the ACC solely three seasons in the past.
Another cause for FSU’s unattainable odds is the energy of schedule they’ll face the remainder of the season. Miami seems to construct on final season. Virginia and Louisville are each within the high 25, that means that the primary 4 in-conference opponents and first 5 Power Four opponents on the schedule are ranked at this level within the season. The Noles nonetheless have powerful assessments later within the schedule, together with Clemson and a highway journey to Pitt. As talked about at the beginning of the article, if it appears dangerous now, it could worsen.
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