World Cup knockout bracket predictions: Picking the largest shocks, greatest video games and winners

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After 72 World Cup group stage matches the bracket is ready and the remaining 32 groups are all 5 rounds away from the sport’s largest prize.

It’s knockout soccer from right here with all three host nations nonetheless standing and stars together with Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe, Erling Haaland and Harry Kane firing in targets.

So, who’s the perfect group left? Who goes to be within the remaining? Who are the perfect followers? The greatest participant? Where will the shocks come? And who’s going to win it?

We requested our writers, and that is what they mentioned.


The greatest group to observe at this World Cup is…

Oliver Kay: In phrases of high quality, it’s France. Their first half of their opening recreation, in opposition to Senegal, was poor. But since then, they’ve been wonderful. For enjoyable, it’s most likely Senegal or Japan.

James Horncastle: If you overlook the primary half in opposition to Senegal at MetLife, France have regarded pretty much as good on the pitch as they appear on paper. This has not all the time been the case with Didier Deschamps. It is a welcome improvement.

Jack Pitt-Brooke: Quite to my shock, the USA. Not many groups truly carry dynamic, intense vertical soccer into the worldwide recreation, however Mauricio Pochettino has managed it. Combine that with the ambiance as hosts and their video games are all must-see from right here on.

Jay Harris: Japan have been mesmerising. They completed second and have been unbeaten in a difficult group which contained the Netherlands, Sweden and Tunisia. Key gamers Wataru Endo and Kaoru Mitoma missed out on the event by harm however they nonetheless play with such easy fluency. Daizen Maeda’s purpose in opposition to Sweden was pure poetry.

Laura Williamson: In phrases of the ball on the grass, it’s acquired to be France however my reply is definitely the United States or Canada. I’m fascinated by folks falling in love with these groups and the sport basically — and lengthy could it proceed.

Felipe Cardenas: France. This group is just too good to disregard. Even in opposition to Norway, a recreation that meant little or no to them, France placed on a present. Ousmane Dembele scored a hat-trick and proved to everybody that, along with famous person Kylian Mbappe, no assault is best outfitted to win the event.

Matt Slater: This is a troublesome one, as no group has been completely good for all the recreation, 3 times. France have been the perfect I’ve seen in particular person however I’ve additionally loved the Dutch on TV — thrills and spills.

Brian Brobbey and the Netherlands have impressed (Julian Finney — FIFA/FIFA by way of Getty Images)

Phil Hay: Japan/Colombia. Japan as a result of they haven’t any superstars, prima donnas or passengers. That would possibly sound underwhelming however it makes them a correct group. Colombia as a result of they’re flamboyant and impressive of their play — and the emotion of all of it drives gamers akin to Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez to tears. Diaz has carried out like a person possessed.

Jordan Campbell: I’ve loved Morocco essentially the most. They are usually not good however they’re stuffed with invention and creativity. When they get their mixture play and counter-attacking proper, they appear able to going all the way in which. Whether they will maintain it for full video games with out giving too many probabilities away is the massive query.

Lukas Weese: Argentina. With Messi on the pitch, nonetheless enjoying so nicely regardless of being 39, Argentina stays a risk.

Patrick Iversen: Japan. This could also be familiarity bias as a result of I’ve seen two of their video games dwell, however I simply love the way in which they play soccer.

Greg O’Keeffe: France. It’s like watching Paris Saint-Germain on cheat mode.

Austin Green: Most aesthetically pleasing? Japan. Flatout greatest? France.


The greatest participant is…

Kay: Lionel Messi.

Horncastle: Improbably, nonetheless Messi. Others will go for Mbappe, and I did get pleasure from being current for a stadium-wide cheer in Philadelphia when he tracked again and regained possession for his group. Shout out to Vinicius Junior, who has additionally stepped up.

Pitt-Brooke: No level making an attempt to be intelligent right here: it’s clearly Messi.

Harris: There is a small a part of me which desires to construct a convincing argument for any person else simply to be totally different, however the one potential reply is Messi. We mustn’t overlook about Lamine Yamal, although. He will play a extra distinguished position for Spain throughout the remainder of the World Cup now that he’s totally match.

Williamson: Mbappe. He hasn’t missed a penalty at this World Cup, has he?

Cardenas: Messi. Is the Argentine as quick and dynamic as Yamal and Mbappe? He isn’t. But the 39-year-old is enjoying like he doesn’t need his worldwide profession to ever finish. Bravo.

Slater: I used to be within the combined zone in Doha when Messi mentioned the 2022 World Cup could be his final … what a fibber. He continues to be the perfect, although.

Hay: Mbappe. That will probably be confirmed by the top of the event, I feel. But my favorite participant is Australia goalkeeper Patrick Beach, as defined right here.

Campbell: Messi. It’s nearly humorous at this level to maintain saying, aged 39, that he’s nonetheless the perfect. But he’s. Until another person shows the identical mesmerising imaginative and prescient, passing vary and scientific contact in entrance of purpose, solely a bias in opposition to age would see him rank under.

Weese: Mbappe. Not solely is he scoring targets however he’s making his team-mates look particular too.

Iversen: Mbappe. It’s greatest to not overthink this stuff.

O’Keeffe: Mbappe is placing his issues at Real Madrid behind him. An unstoppable pressure of nature.

Green: Right now? Messi. After the ultimate? Probably Mbappe.


The coach doing the perfect job is…

Kay: It must be Bubista, who has led Cape Verde to the knockout stage, conceding solely two targets in what regarded like a horrible group. They have some gifted gamers, however their largest strengths are their unity, their organisation and their defiance. That displays on the coach.

Horncastle: Can’t argue with Bubista. Cape Verde are unbeaten in 12 video games. Maybe we should always have seen this coming once they swept Serbia apart 3-0 on the finish of May. Can’t consider we’re not doing the worst … I’ll save that entry for one more day.

Pitt-Brooke: I assumed South Africa have been an absolute shambles within the opening recreation in opposition to Mexico, so hats off to Hugo Broos for dragging them by to the knockout stage. I may even see them discovering their approach by to the last-16 as nicely now.

Harris: Emerse Fae deserves credit score for guiding Ivory Coast to the knockout stage for the primary time of their historical past. It’s a exceptional achievement which the golden technology of Didier Drogba, Yaya Toure and Kolo Toure failed to attain. They have the youngest squad on the event with a median age of 25.4 and can trigger Norway issues within the subsequent spherical.

Bubista has made historical past with Cape Verde (Photo: Michael Steele/Getty Images)

Williamson: Bubista. Cape Verde’s achievement is completely exceptional. But an honourable point out to Ghana’s Carlos Queiroz, too. I don’t agree with a lot he says, however he definitely had the higher hand in opposition to Thomas Tuchel and England.

Cardenas: Ronald Koeman. The Dutch are flying. Ten targets of their first three matches caught my consideration. Their soccer has been silky and the supervisor seems to be getting every little thing proper. His techniques aren’t all the time essentially the most expansive, however I’ll give him credit score for getting his picks proper.

Slater: A draw between Cape Verde’s Bubista and Iran’s Amir Ghalenoei. For each to get by their teams undefeated is — for very totally different causes — a exceptional achievement. Bubista’s is the traditional underdog story, whereas Ghalenoei is coping with a novel set of disadvantages.

Hay: Pound for pound, it’s Cape Verde’s Bubista. His group didn’t bluff their method to attracts in opposition to Spain, Uruguay or Saudi Arabia. They’re drilled and assured. In phrases of larger nations, Ronald Koeman has the Netherlands ticking alongside properly.

Campbell: Bubista. To go unbeaten in a bunch containing Spain, Uruguay and Saudi Arabia is unimaginable.

Weese: Lionel Scaloni. He is getting a cohesive efficiency out of his gamers by the group stage.

Iversen: Koeman. The Netherlands has regarded dominant since a shaky opener in opposition to Japan.

O’Keeffe: It’s Ghalenoei, given what he and his gamers have needed to cope with, or Bubista. For the sake of positivity, Bubista nicks it.

Green: Bubista has made historical past with Cape Verde, and it’s no fluke.


The greatest spherical 32 tie is…

Kay: Netherlands vs Morocco appears like enjoyable. Argentina vs Cape Verde is a vastly interesting recreation too, however I will probably be very pleasantly stunned if it’s a detailed contest.

Horncastle: It’s Netherlands-Morocco for the expertise on show and the cultural ties too

Pitt-Brooke: I feel Japan is perhaps the worst potential opponent for Brazil to face at this stage. They’re so intelligent, so match and so sharp; I simply surprise if they could be capable to decide Brazil off.

Harris: Japan in opposition to Brazil has all of the substances of an immediate traditional. Morocco’s conflict in opposition to the Netherlands will probably be fascinating too. Several members of Morocco’s squad, together with Noussair Mazraoui and Sofyan Amrabat, have been born within the Netherlands, which provides an additional pinch of spice. Amrabat even made just a few appearances for them at youth-team stage.

Mazraoui and Morocco will face Netherlands (Finn Gomez/The Boston Globe by way of Getty Images)

Williamson: Ivory Coast vs Norway. You suspect there is perhaps just a few targets in that one (I’ve most likely cursed it now) however it might be unimaginable to see an African facet progress, significantly after Norway’s ridiculous raft of adjustments of their 4-1 defeat by France.

Cardenas: Mexico vs Ecuador. This will probably be a primetime showdown in Mexico City’s temple, the Estadio Azteca. It’s the co-hosts, winners of three group stage matches in entrance of frenzied crowds, versus a World Cup darkish horse that’s used to enjoying at altitude. Ecuador are practically unbeatable within the capital of Quito, which is able to give them confidence within the skinny air of Mexico City. I can’t look forward to this one.

Slater: Morocco vs Netherlands, FIFA’s sixth-ranked group versus its seventh, within the spherical of 32? Good grief. This is precisely the kind of untimely jeopardy that did for the outdated European Cup. Much extra of this pleasure and FIFA will carry again a second group stage.

Hay: The Netherlands versus Morocco. Not a lot else comes shut.

How far can co-hosts Mexico go? (Molly Darlington/Getty Images)

Campbell: Netherlands vs Morocco. Ronald Koeman’s facet is probably not essentially the most stunning Dutch group ever however they made gentle work of their group. Morocco, alternatively, are brilliantly ingenious. I’m intrigued as to how these kinds will match up.

Weese: Portugal and Croatia. Cristiano Ronaldo, 41, taking over Luka Modric, 40, will probably be compelling. 

Iversen: Argentina vs Cape Verde, purely for the “can Cape Verde really do it?” issue which may final 5 minutes. Here’s hoping it lasts at the least 45?

O’Keeffe: Morocco in opposition to the Netherlands has the potential to be completely absorbing.

Green: Netherlands vs Morocco, two sides that merely don’t lose simply in main tournaments.


The largest shock will come when…

Kay: One of the three hosts would possibly come unstuck. They have all performed rather well to date, and all have winnable ties, however it is vitally straightforward to get over-excited and lose sight of what’s in entrance of you.

Horncastle: I don’t assume it’ll be a shock as a result of I’ve seen them deny Italy a spot on the World Cup. But I’ve a suspicion Bosnia will pop the U.S. bubble.

Pitt-Brooke: Ecuador play Mexico within the final 32. Ecuador are a unbelievable group, as they confirmed in the way in which they bullied Germany in New Jersey of their third recreation to make it by. They gained’t have a difficulty with the altitude both. No one will wish to play them.

Harris: The USMNT fail to succeed in the quarter-finals. A beneficial draw has opened up for them and, regardless of dropping to Turkey of their remaining group-stage recreation, expectations have skyrocketed. The stress goes to construct and I’ve a foul feeling they are going to crack in opposition to a group they’re anticipated to beat.

Can Gio Reyna and the US get previous Bosnia? (Eric Verhoeven/Soccrates/Getty Images)

Williamson: It’s oddly onerous to foretell shocks when there are nonetheless 32 groups left in it! But I can see Brazil stuttering in opposition to Japan, and I ponder concerning the Netherlands in opposition to Morocco too. (I’m being overwhelmed by a six-year-old in The Athletic’s Pick ‘Em game, so take that with a pinch of salt!)

Cardenas: Ivory Coast eliminates Norway. Haaland will be the first big star at this World Cup to pack his bags and go home.

Slater: Is Ecuador beating Mexico in Mexico City a shock? Is South Africa beating Canada in L.A. a shock? OK, how about both happening and we lose two of the co-hosts this round?

Hay: Japan knock out Brazil (OK, this probably won’t occur, however I don’t assume it’s out of the query).

Campbell: England exit within the final 16 or earlier to a group not ranked on this planet’s high 10. Could the U.S. additionally do the unthinkable and make it to the semi-final? They’re in a really beneficial nook of the draw.

Weese: Canada makes the quarter-finals of the World Cup. You heard it right here first.

Iversen: The U.S. doesn’t make it to the spherical of 16.

O’Keeffe: England exit earlier than the quarter-finals. Injuries are exposing potential deep flaws in Thomas Tuchel’s choice logic.

Green: An organised, scientific Japan defeat Brazil within the spherical of 32.


The greatest followers are…

Kay: Argentina’s. So loud, so passionate, with a lot love for his or her group. The ambiance they create is one thing particular.

Horncastle: The Scots. Not for consuming Boston out of beer, however for the remix of Miami by Will Smith. Bienvenido, Tartan Army.

Pitt-Brooke: Can I say Ecuador once more? The noise when Gonzalo Plata stabbed the winner previous Manuel Neuer was one of many loudest of the entire event. And their followers lit up New York City all week.

Harris: I noticed plenty of Ecuador followers partying late into the night time after their victory over Germany. Norway’s Viking row celebration deserves a particular point out, too.

Cardenas: The Scots. The Tartan Army are the GOATs of World Cup fan supporters.

Slater: Ecuador’s yellow military is the perfect, brightest and loudest I’ve encountered at this event to date. The solely mistake they made was placing their colors on the Rocky statue in Philadelphia. Rookie error.

Hay: The Dutch. That ‘Al Rechts, Al Links’ music is ace, and the swathes of orange all the time look good. Kudos to Japan for his or her litter-tidying routine too.

Campbell: Norway. Only just a few overly optimistic Scotland followers stay on U.S. soil however the vibrancy and feel-good enjoyable of the Tartan Army has been carried on by the Vikings in Boston. Their well-known ‘Norwegian row’ has been shaking stadiums and taking up bars.

Norway’s “row” has change into an everyday web site within the stands (Andrew Katsampes/ISI Photos/ISI Photos by way of Getty Images)

Weese: I’ll give some like to Ghana, Ivory Coast and Senegal supporters who I noticed in Toronto. Their musical chants are unimaginable.

Iversen: Everyone who wasn’t stationed in Boston for the group stage feels a little bit of FOMO concerning the Scottish followers. They deserved higher from their group.

O’Keeffe: Scotland’s, who haven’t had anyplace close to as a lot to cheer on the pitch as Norway’s, however who’ve gained most impartial hearts.

Green: The rowing Norway supporters.


The all-star golden boot race will probably be gained by…

Kay: Mbappe. But whoever wins it, will probably be with the best complete since Gerd Muller’s 10 in 1970.

Horncastle: I feel Mbappe has extra expertise round him than Messi. He doesn’t must do as a lot himself.

Pitt-Brooke: I can’t repeat Messi once more, so I’ll go for Kylian Mbappe, who appears to change into a distinct participant throughout these large tournaments.

Harris: I’m going with Mbappe. Messi would possibly maintain the all-time goalscoring file for now, however Mbappe will inevitably rip it away from him in some unspecified time in the future.

Williamson: Mbappe.

Cardenas: Messi. The Argentina captain is main the pack, and I don’t count on him to decelerate. Messi, Mbappe and Kane will battle for this award, though Dembele is lurking, too.

Can Mbappe win the World Cup and golden boot double? (Photo: Richard Sellers/Sportsphoto/Allstar by way of Getty Images)

Slater: Just to be barely opposite, I’m going for Kane, as England are usually not adequate to relaxation him, he takes penalties and if he doesn’t rating at the least seven targets right here, England is not going to make the final week of the event.

Hay: The aforementioned Mbappe.

Campbell: I don’t assume Norway will go deep sufficient for Haaland to win it and I’m nonetheless not sure of whether or not Brazil will get to the top, regardless of Vinicius Jnr trying impressed. Messi is the primary contender however France are so harmful that I can’t see Mbappe not attending to double figures by the top of the event.

Weese: Messi. We haven’t reached the vital video games but and there’s only a feeling he’ll get on the scoresheet extra instances.

Iversen: Messi, so long as FIFA doesn’t resolve the remaining video games will probably be 90 minutes of penalty photographs.

O’Keeffe: Mbappe. At the second, it’s onerous to see who stops him as soon as Messi and Haaland face harder opponents.

Green: Mbappe, with 12 targets to provide him a neat 20 over two World Cups.


The World Cup remaining will probably be between…

Kay: France and Argentina once more. That would be the commonest decide, I count on, however it appears like a fairly open subject.

Horncastle: France and Argentina, a repeat of 4 years in the past.

Pitt-Brooke: The concern is that France and Spain are in the identical half of the draw, however I’d go for Spain to win the Dallas semi. Argentina are the perfect group within the Atlanta half of the draw.

Harris: France and Argentina are on reverse sides of the draw and the prospect of them going through one another in successive finals is tantalising. It could be solely the second time in historical past that has occurred after West Germany and Argentina in 1986 and 1990.

Will we get a Messi v France rerun? (Nick Potts/PA Images by way of Getty Images)

Williamson: France and Argentina. But it’ll take some beating to beat what I used to be fortunate sufficient to witness in Doha in December 2022.

Cardenas: France vs Brazil. My large daring take earlier than the event began was that Brazil would keep within the event longer than Argentina, however fail to win it. France versus Brazil has a pleasant ring to it.

Slater: France and … Argentina. I wish to be opposite once more however there’s a restrict.

Hay: France and Argentina once more.

Campbell: France and Argentina. An opportunity for Mbappe to actual revenge. An opportunity for Messi to make himself doubly immortal.

Weese: France and Argentina. Messi versus Mbappe 2.0 could be the right conclusion to this epic World Cup.

Iversen: France and England.

O’Keeffe: France and Argentina.

Green: France and Argentina.


And will probably be gained by…

Kay: I mentioned France initially, and I’ll stick to that. But it’s not going to be straightforward. They’ll face Sweden after which, doubtlessly, Germany, Netherlands/Morocco and Spain simply to get to the ultimate. That may take a toll.

Horncastle: France. Mbappe scored a hat-trick within the remaining in Qatar and didn’t win. He’s enjoying as if he desires to set that proper.

Pitt-Brooke: Messi does what Diego Maradona couldn’t do and wins Argentina consecutive World Cups.

Harris: West Germany avenged their defeat to Argentina in 1986 4 years later, and I’m tipping France to observe of their footsteps. Argentina have been spectacular to date however I don’t assume anyone can cease Mbappe and his supporting solid of Dembele, Desire Doue and Michael Olise.

Williamson: France. I’ve modified my thoughts once more!

Cardenas: France. Too good. Too deep. And an excessive amount of Mbappe.

Can anybody take the trophy from Messi? (Tom Jenkins/Getty Images)

Slater: France, for a similar cause as above. Their attacking choices are nearly unfair.

Hay: France. They’re clearly the perfect facet.

Campbell: I picked Argentina initially, so will keep it up. France’s firepower might be an excessive amount of for anybody on their day, however they nonetheless lack a little bit of stability.

Weese: France to beat Argentina in penalties.

Iversen: France. England’s World Cup heartbreak is principally load-bearing infrastructure at this level.

O’Keeffe: France. Didier Deschamps’ bond together with his gamers will solely have been deepened by his bereavement, and it may galvanise the group behind him additional. As a group, they’re unmatched.

Green: France. Revenge is a dish greatest served on a suspect grass enjoying floor.


Round of 32 fixtures

June 28

  • South Africa vs Canada at SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles) — 12pm PT, 3pm ET, 8pm BST

June 29

  • Brazil vs Japan at NRG Stadium (Houston) — 10am PT, 1pm ET, 6pm BST
  • Germany vs Paraguay at Gillette Stadium (Boston) — 1:30pm PT, 4:30pm ET, 9:30pm BST
  • Netherlands vs Morocco at Estadio BBVA (Monterrey) — 6pm PT, 9pm ET, 2am BST (June 30)

June 30

  • Ivory Coast vs Norway at AT&T Stadium (Dallas) — 10am PT, 1pm ET, 6pm BST
  • France vs Sweden at MetLife Stadium (New York/New Jersey) — 2pm PT, 5pm ET, 10pm BST
  • Mexico vs Ecuador at Estadio Azteca (Mexico City) — 6pm PT, 9pm ET, 2am BST (July 1)

July 1

  • England vs DR Congo at Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta) — 9am PT, 12pm ET, 5pm BST
  • Belgium vs Senegal at Lumen Field (Seattle) — 1pm PT, 4pm ET, 9pm BST
  • USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina at Levi’s Stadium (San Francisco Bay Area) — 5pm PT, 8pm ET, 1am BST (July 2)

July 2

  • Spain vs Austria at SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles) — 12pm PT, 3pm ET, 8pm BST
  • Portugal vs Croatia at BMO Field (Toronto) — 4pm PT, 7pm ET, 12pm BST
  • Switzerland vs Algeria at BC Place (Vancouver) — 8pm PT, 11pm ET, 4am BST (July 3)

July 3

  • Australia v Egypt at AT&T Stadium (Dallas) — 11am PT, 2pm ET, 7pm BST
  • Argentina v Cape Verde at Miami Stadium (Miami) — 3pm PT, 6pm ET, 11pm BST
  • Colombia v Ghana at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City) — 6.30pm ET, 9.30pm ET, 2.30am BST


This web page was created programmatically, to learn the article in its unique location you may go to the hyperlink bellow:
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7401629/2026/06/28/world-cup-bracket-predictions/
and if you wish to take away this text from our web site please contact us